Market Curiosity: Exploring Markets And Systems

April 17, 2011

Martin Armstrong’s view on sovereign debt crisis: late 2014 to 2020

Filed under: Systems — Tags: — Jeff Fitzmyers @ 1:35 pm

Mr. Armstron’s paper on the other side of inflation is interesting to me since the framework is the same old human system with a few new decorations.

Oswald Spengler (1880–1936), also had the same structural view of world history. He correctly pinpointed that Europe had reached its zenith and 1914 began the decline and fall with the shift in power to America. Well, the 100 year cycle observed by Wheeler if we start it in 1914, is due in 2014. That is the target on the 25.049 year cycle the computer discovered – 2014.763 (October 5th) (last 4 were 1914.567, 1939.616, 1964.665, 1989.714). This is when political change should emerge. The Economic Confidence Model peaks 2015.75. It is then when we should begin to see the sovereign debt crisis in full bloom going into 2020.05. History is our road map to the future. It repeats because the passions of man never change.

I don’t see how things will last 3+ more years, but then I’ve thought that same thought for years now. I suppose the gov/fed parasite can still buy bonds for a 3-6 more months. Then just before that collapses, rebrand that debt and issue new and improved debt. That might work for a year or so? Metals can go up and most Americans will just keep using FRN’s since they don’t have any metals. After the new FRN’s/debt start to falter, then maybe enough people will realize they are being stolen from again and start acting in their best interests??

Mr Armstrong also suggests that expert systems (computerized decision trees) with no discretion would be better than the current judicial system. “Yes but,” in practice I doubt it since human nature will find a way to exert itself before the expert systems can be fed the data. Instead it might be better to have a system where is pays to identify fraud, non truths, and promises that can’t be kept. And that does not have middle layers that can be co opted.

The future is going to be very interesting.

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