Market Curiosity: Exploring Markets And Systems

November 6, 2011

Lean hogs – Looking for an low risk short (update 1, May 2)

Filed under: Just Watching — Tags: , — Jeff Fitzmyers @ 8:18 am

Peter Brandt Four charts to be watching (Scroll down to 3rd section.)

Futures traders who follow seasonal patterns believe that there is a strong upward bias in Hog prices in the fourth quarter. In actuality, during the past 20 years the price of the February Hog contract has been as likely to go down as go up during the fourth quarter. In fact, some of the largest trends in Hogs during the fourth quarter have been price declines.

Look what happened recently in OJ.

Close up of what happened.

Bean oil and wheat are also near relative extremes.

May 2 2012:

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